2018 National Polls

Poll Documents

Press Release

Suffolk University/USA Today Poll Shows Voters Don’t Believe President Trump’s Denials of Campaign Collusion with Russia

Paleologos on the Poll

Republicans Should Look to the Economy - and Be Worried about 2020

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted between December 11 and December 16, 2018, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Quota and demographic information—including region, race, and age—were determined from national census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Poll Documents

Press Release

SU/USA TODAY Poll: Voters Want a Congress That Will Stand Up To Trump, but Not Impeach Him 

Paleologos on the Poll: Conflicting trends and no 'neat package' for the midterms

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted between October 18 and October 22, 2018, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who identified as likely voters for the November 2018 midterm elections. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from national census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Key Names/Issues

2018 midterm elections, Equal Rights Amendment (ERA), Donald Trump, Brett Kavanaugh, Supreme Court, Robert Mueller, Republican Party, Democratic Party, US Congress, news media, impeachment, 2016 Russian election interference, special counsel investigation, Rod Rosenstein 

Poll Documents

Press Release

SU/USA Today Poll Shows Faith in Mueller’s Russia Investigation but Not in Trump Denials; President’s Unfavorable Ratings Increase

Paleologos on the Poll: Impeachment? It's the Elephant in the Room this Election Season

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted between August 23 and August 28, 2018, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who identified as registered voters. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from national census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Key Names/Issues

Donald Trump, Robert Mueller, Mike Pence, Republican Party, Democratic Party, US Congress, news media, corruption, Russian election meddling, Rudy Giuliani, Paul Manafort, Michael Cohen, impeachment, 2018 midterm elections 

Poll Documents

Press Release

Shift to More Positive View of Trump Could Impact Midterms

Paleologos on the Poll: Ask Voters About Trump and Get an Earful, Regardless of Party

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted between June 13 and June 18, 2018, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who identified as registered voters. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from national census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Key Names/Issues

Donald Trump, Mike Pence, Republican Party, Democratic Party, 2018 congressional midterms, North Korea, Singapore summit, Kim Jong Un, G7 summit, presidential pardons, impeachment, US-Mexico relations, NAFTA, tariffs  

Poll Documents

Press Releases

Paleologos on the Poll: Voters Have New Focus on Gun Violence

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted between February 20 and February 24, 2018, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who identified as registered voters. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from national census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Key Names/Issues

2018 Congressional Midterms, Donald Trump, Robert Mueller, Mike Pence, Republican Party, Democratic Party, US Congress, news media, Russian election interference, special counsel investigation, Parkland shooting, gun control, background checks, AR-15, mental illness, school security, economy