2015 National Polls
December 14, 2015: National Issues Poll with USA Today
Poll Documents
Press Release
GOP Leaders Running Neck-and-Neck with Clinton
Paleologos On The Poll
In a Close Election, the 'Unfaves' Will Matter
Statement of Methodology
This survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted between December 2 and December 6, 2015, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, and who intend to vote in 2016. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines (65 percent) and cell phones (35 percent) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. The margin of error for the Democratic primary/caucus subset of 363 likely voters is +/- 5.1 percentage points. The margin of error for the Republican primary/caucus subset of 357 likely voters is +/- 5.2 percentage points.
Key Names/Issues
Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders, Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, Barack Obama, Planned Parenthood, ISIS, terrorism
October 1, 2015: National Issues Poll with USA TODAY
Poll Documents
Press Releases
Nationwide Poll Shows Clinton Leading Democratic Field - October 1, 2015
National Poll Shows Trump, Carson & Fiorina in Top 3 GOP Spots - September 30, 2015
Paleologos on the Poll
Breaking Down Clinton's Lead - October 1, 2015
The 2016 Gang of Six - September 30, 2015
Statement of Methodology
This survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted between September 24 and September 28, 2015, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, and who intend to vote in 2016. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines (65 percent) and cell phones (35 percent) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. The margin of error for the Republican primary subset of 380 voters is +/- 5.03 percentage points. The margin of error for the Democratic primary subset of 430 voters is +/- 4.7 percentage points.
Key Names/Issues
Planned Parenthood, government shutdown, Barack Obama, US Congress, Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Joe Biden, Lincoln Chafee, Larry Lessig, Martin O'Malley, Jim Webb, Islam, Muslims, State Department emails, Benghazi
July 21, 2015: 2016 Presidential Election Poll with USA TODAY
Poll Documents
Press Releases
Suffolk University/USA TODAY Poll Shows Clinton Holding Strong Lead among Democrats across the Nation -- July 15, 2015
Suffolk University/USA TODAY Poll Shows Trump on Top with GOP Voters Nationwide -- July 14, 2015
Paleologos on the Poll
General Election 'Dangerously Close' for Clinton
Statement of Methodology
This survey of 1,000 adults was conducted between July 9 and July 12, 2015, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, and who intend to vote in 2016. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines (65 percent) and cell phones (35 percent) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues
Donald Trump, Jeb Bush, Scott Walker, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Ben Carson, Rand Paul, Mike Huckabee, Chris Christie, Rick Perry, Rick Santorum, Bobby Jindal, Carly Fiorina, John Kasich, Lindsey Graham, George Pataki, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Jim Webb, Martin O'Malley, Lincoln Chafee, Obamacare, same-sex marriage, immigration, ISIS
June 30, 2015: National Issues Poll with USA TODAY
Poll Documents
Press Release
Paleologos on the Poll
Statement of Methodology
This survey of 1000 adults was conducted between June 25 and June 29, 2015, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age and older residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Each state’s quota and demographic information - including region, race, and age - were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landline (65%) and cell phones (35%) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into 4 general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document which follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues
South Carolina shooting, Confederate flag, gun control, racism, American currency
April 14, 2015: National Issues Poll with USA TODAY
Poll Documents
Press Release
Congress Should Have Role in Iran Deal
Paleologos on the Poll
Statement of Methodology
This survey of 1000 adults was conducted between April 8th and April 13th, 2015, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age and older residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Each state’s quota and demographic information - including region, race, and age - were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landline (65%) and cell phones (35%) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into 4 general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document which follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues
Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Elizabeth Warren, Scott Walker, Jeb Bush, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, Ben Carson, Marco Rubio, US Congress, Iran, same-sex marriage, religious freedom, terrorism, Oklahoma City bombing
January 28, 2015: National State of the Union Survey with USA TODAY
Poll Documents
Press Release
Rich Get Richer and Government Holds the Key; Split Decision on Obama's Handling of Economy
Paleologos on the Poll
A Lukewarm View of the Economy
Statement of Methodology
This survey of 1000 adults was conducted between January 21st and January 25th, 2015, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age and older residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Each state’s quota and demographic information - including region, race, and age - were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landline (65%) and cell phones (35%) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into 4 general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document which follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.