2016 National Polls
December 21, 2016: National Poll with USA TODAY
Suffolk University and USA TODAY polled the nation in the wake of Donald Trump's election in 2016. Now, following a controversial post-inaugural, USA TODAY has reached out to self-identified Trump voters from our December poll to create a 25-member panel to track opinions of Trump supporters during the early days of his administration. Complete results from the December poll are below. Stay tuned for periodic updates from the panel.
February 2017 - Trump Voters Like the President's Actions But Not His Tweets
December 21, 2016 Poll Documents
December 21, 2016 Press Release
Paleologos on the Poll
Evaluating Obama's Legacy, Trump's Transition
Statement of Methodology
This survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted between December 14 and December 18, 2016, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who identify as registered voters. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues
Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Mike Pence, Bernie Sanders, Jill Stein, Gary Johnson, Kellyanne Conway, Michelle Obama, Bernie Sanders, Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, Deval Patrick, Affordable Care Act, Great Recession, economic recovery, terrorism, Iraq/Afghanistan, climate change, race relations, Electoral College, Trump transition efforts, conflict of interest, ISIS, Washington DC, immigration, Russian hacking,
October 26, 2016: National Issues Poll with USA TODAY
Poll Documents
Press Release
Poll Shows Clinton Leading Trump by 9 Points Nationwide
Paleologos on the Poll
Clinton's 'Electoral Sledgehammer' and More Potential Superlatives
Statement of Methodology
This survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted between October 20 and October 24, 2016, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who intend to vote in the general election in November 2016. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues
Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Gary Johnson, Donald Trump, Jill Stein, presidential debates, inappropriate behavior by Trump towards women, WikiLeaks, Clinton Foundation, corruption, election results, Russian hackers, Election Day violence, peaceful transfer of power, economy, news media
September 8, 2016: National Issues Poll with USA TODAY
Poll Documents
Press Release
National Poll Shows Clinton Leading Trump by 7 Points
Paleologos on the Poll: Voters Want Third-Party Candidates on Debate Stage
Statement of Methodology
This survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted between August 24 and August 29, 2016, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who intend to vote in the general election in November 2016. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Gary Johnson, Donald Trump, Jill Stein, TV ads, Clinton Foundation, Trump tax returns, economy, national security, Supreme Court appointments, social issues, job creation, Zika virus, 9/11 anniversary, terrorism, public safety
July 11, 2016: National Poll with USA TODAY
Poll Documents
Press Release
Poll Shows 61 Percent Alarmed About Presidential Election
Paleologos on the Poll
Voters are Deeply Divided and Fearful
Statement of Methodology
This survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted between June 26 and June 29, 2016, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who intend to vote in the general election in November 2016. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. The margin of error for the Democratic primary/caucus subset of 340 likely voters is +/-5.3 percentage points. The margin of error for the Republican primary/caucus subset of 309 likely voters is +/5.6 percentage points. The margin of error for the 456 Clinton voters is +/-4.6 percentage points. The margin of error for the 404 Trump voters is +/4.9 percentage points. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues
Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Gary Johnson, Donald Trump, Jill Stein, gun control, Muslim immigration, assault weapons, no-fly list
April 25, 2016: National Poll with USA TODAY
Poll Documents
Press Release
Poll Shows Turmoil, Possible Defections, Among GOP Voters
Paleologos on the Poll: Major Challenges Ahead for the GOP
Statement of Methodology
This survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted between April 20 and April 24, 2016, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who intend to vote in the general election in November of 2016. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines (65 percent) and cell phones (35 percent) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. The margin of error for the Democratic primary/caucus subset of 363 likely voters is +/-5.1 percentage points. The margin of error for the Republican primary/caucus subset of 292 likely voters is +/5.7 percentage points.
Key Names/Issues
Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, John Kasich, Ted Cruz, Donald Trump, Democratic National Convention, Republican National Convention, superdelegates
February 17, 2016: National Poll with USA TODAY
Poll Documents
Press Release
Poll Shows Clinton & Trump Holding Primary Leads
Paleologos on the Poll: From New Hampshire to the Nation
Statement of Methodology
This survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted between February 11 and February 15, 2016, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who intend to vote in 2016. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines (65 percent) and cell phones (35 percent) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. The margin of error for the Democratic primary/caucus subset of 319 likely voters is +/-5.5 percentage points. The margin of error for the Republican primary/caucus subset of 358 likely voters is +/5.2 percentage points.
Key Names/Issues
Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, Donald Trump, Michael Bloomberg, Zika virus