2018 MA Polls
October 29, 2018: Massachusetts Governor and US Senate General Election
Poll Documents
Marginals [PDF]
Tables [PDF]
Press Release
Statement of Methodology
This survey of 500 likely Massachusetts general election voters was conducted between October 24 and October 27, 2018, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were very or somewhat likely to vote, or had already voted, in the November 2018 general election for governor and US Senate. Each area’s quota and demographic information -- including race and age -- was determined from previous like elections and 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. The 14 Massachusetts counties were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues
Donald Trump, Charlie Baker, Elizabeth Warren, Jay Gonzalez, Geoff Diehl, Shiva Ayyadurai, impeachment, Deval Patrick, 2020 presidential election, Warren DNA test results, sexual harassment, Question 1 (Patient to Nurse Limits), Question 2 (Limiting Election Spending and Corporate Rights), Question 3 (Transgender Anti-Discrimination), Massachusetts traffic conditions, tolls, college endowment tax, Battery Electric Vehicles (B.E.V.)
September 20, 2018: Massachusetts Governor & US Senate General Election
Poll Documents:
Press Release
Mass. Voters Favor Baker & Warren as They Choose Person over Party
Statement of Methodology
This survey of 500 likely Massachusetts general election voters was conducted between September 13 and September 17, 2018, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were very or somewhat likely to vote in the November 2018 general election for governor and US Senate. Each area’s quota and demographic information -- including race and age -- was determined from previous like elections and 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. The 14 Massachusetts counties were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues
Seth Moulton, Ed Markey, Donald Trump, Charlie Baker, Elizabeth Warren, impeachment of the president, Jay Gonzalez, Geoff Diehl, Shiva Ayyadurai, traffic concerns, sexual harassment/misconduct, Question 1/nurse to patient limits, Question 2/constitutional rights of corporations, Question 3/transgender anti-discrimination, Joseph Kennedy III, Deval Patrick, John Kerry, 2020 presidential election
June 14, 2018: Massachusetts Governor & US Senate
Poll Documents
Press Release
GOP Gov. Baker & Democratic U.S. Sen. Warren Show Staying Power with Mass. Voters
Statement of Methodology
This survey of 500 likely Massachusetts general election voters was conducted between June 8 and June 12, 2018, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were likely to vote in the November 2018 general election for governor and US Senate. Each area’s quota and demographic information -- including race and age -- was determined from previous like elections and 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. The 14 Massachusetts counties were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.