2013 MA Polls
November 1, 2013: Boston Mayor & City Council Final Election
Poll Documents
Press Release
SU/Boston Herald Mayoral Poll Shows Walsh Surging Into Lead
Statement of Methodology
Using the voter list from the 2012 presidential election and other Boston elections, the Suffolk University poll used a tight screen to filter out voters who weren't likely to vote or who couldn't name the approximate timeframe of the final election for mayor of Boston. The field of 555 very likely final election voters was conducted October 29 through October 31. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.
October 7, 2013: Boston Mayor & City Council Final Election
Poll Documents
Press Release
Connolly Leads Walsh by 7 Points in Boston Mayoral Race
Statement of Methodology
Using the voter list from the 2012 presidential election and other Boston elections, the Suffolk University poll used a tight screen to filter out voters who weren't likely to vote or who couldn't name the approximate time frame of the final election for mayor of Boston. The field of 600 likely final election voters was conducted October 2 through October 6. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.
September 18, 2013: Boston Mayor Preliminary Election
Poll Documents
Press Release
Suffolk University/Boston Herald Mayoral Poll Shows Connolly Separating From Pack
Statement of Methodology
Using the voter list from the 2012 presidential election and other Boston elections, the Suffolk University poll used a tight screen to filter out voters who weren't likely to vote or who couldn't name the approximate timeframe of the preliminary election for mayor of Boston. All respondents who could not name the month of September were screened out. The field of 600 very likely preliminary election voters was conducted Thursday, September 12 through Tuesday, September 17. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.
July 16, 2013: Boston Mayor
Poll Documents
Press Release
Suffolk University/Boston Herald Mayoral Poll Shows Connolly, Walsh Leading Pack
Statement of Methodology
Using the voter list from the 2012 presidential election and other Boston elections, the Suffolk University poll used a tight screen to filter out voters who weren't likely to vote or who couldn't name the month of the preliminary election for mayor of Boston. All respondents who could not name the month of September were screened out. The field of 600 likely preliminary election voters was conducted Wednesday, July 10 through Monday, July 15. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence for each area.
June 24, 2013: Massachusetts US Senate Special Election & Bellwethers
Statewide Poll Documents
Bellwether Marginals
Dartmouth [PDF Unavailable At This Time]
Press Release
Poll Shows Democrat Markey with 10 Point Lead Over Republican Gomez
Statement of Methodology
The statewide Suffolk University survey used a split sample of landline and cell phone numbers and a tight screen to filter out voters who weren't certain to vote or who couldn't name when the special general election would be held. The field of 500 likely voters was conducted Wednesday, June 19, through Saturday, June 22. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.
The bellwether survey used voter lists from each community with the same tight screen as the statewide poll. It was fielded Friday, June 21, through Sunday, June 23. The margin of error is +/- 5.65 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence for each area. Bellwethers are designed to predict outcomes, not margins.
June 10, 2013: Statewide US Senate Special Election & Issues
Poll Documents
Press Release
SU Poll Shows Democrat Markey with 7-Point Lead Over Republican Gomez
Statement of Methodology
Using a split sample of RDD and cells, the Suffolk poll used a tight screen to filter out voters who weren't certain to vote or who couldn't name when the special general election would be held. The field was conducted Thursday, June 6 through Sunday, June 9. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence for each area.
May 9, 2013: Statewide US Senate Special Election & Issues
Poll Documents
Press Release
Statewide Poll Shows Democrat Markey with a Wide Lead Over Republican Gomez
Statement of Methodology
Using a split sample of RDD and cells, the Suffolk poll used a tight screen to filter out voters who weren't certain to vote or who couldn't name when the special general election would be held. The field was conducted Saturday, May 4 through Tuesday, May 7. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence for each area.
April 28, 2013: US Senate Bellwethers
Democratic Primary Marginals
Republican Primary Marginals
Boston [PDF Unavailable At This Time]
Press Release
Statement of Methodology
Using voter lists of the most reliable Democratic and Republican primary voters from each bellwether, the bellwether IDs were designed using a tight screen to filter out voters who weren't certain to vote or who couldn't name when the special election would be held. The field was conducted Thursday, April 25, through Sunday, April 28. The margin of error is +/- 5.65 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence for each area.