2016 MA Polls

Poll Documents

Marginals [PDF]

Tables [PDF]

Press Release

SU/Boston Globe Poll Shows Mass. Voters Split on Charter School Ballot Question

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 500 likely Massachusetts general election voters was conducted between October 24 and October 26, 2016, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were likely to vote in the November 2016 general election for president. Each area’s quota and demographic information -- including race and age -- was determined from previous like elections and 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. The 14 Massachusetts counties were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Key Names/Issues

Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Elizabeth Warren, Charlie Baker, Ed Markey, Curt Schilling, Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, slot machines, charter schools, farm animal rights, marijuana legalization, rigged elections, early voting 

Poll Documents

Marginals [PDF]

Tables [PDF]

Press Release

Massachusetts Voters Split on Pot

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 500 likely Massachusetts general election voters was conducted between May 2 and May 5, 2016, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were likely to vote in the November 2016 general election for president. Each area’s quota and demographic information -- including race and age -- was determined from previous like elections and 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landline (65 percent) and cell phones (35 percent) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. The 14 Massachusetts counties were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Key Names/Issues

Charlie Baker, Elizabeth Warren, Edward Markey, Maura Healey, Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Barack Obama, public accommodations, transgender rights, charter schools, marijuana legalization, millionaires tax, ballot measures 

Poll Documents

Marginals [PDF]

Tables [PDF]

Press Release

Clinton Leading Sanders in Mass. on Eve of Democratic Primary

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 500 likely Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary voters was conducted between February 25 and February 27, 2016, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were registered to vote and who were very likely to vote in the March 1 Democratic primary. Each area’s quota and demographic information -- including race and age -- were determined from previous like elections and 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landline (65 percent) and cell phones (35 percent) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. The 14 Massachusetts counties were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Key Names

Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Donald Trump, Marco Rubio, John Kasich, Ted Cruz, Ben Carson, Charlie Baker, Maura Healey 

Poll Documents

Marginals [PDF]

Tables [PDF]

Press Release

Suffolk University GOP Poll Shows Trump Leading by 2-1 Margin in Massachusetts

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 500 likely Massachusetts Republican presidential primary voters was conducted between February 24 and February 26, 2016, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were registered to vote and who were very likely to vote in the March 1 Republican primary. Each area’s quota and demographic information -- including race and age -- were determined from previous like elections and 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landline (65 percent) and cell phones (35 percent) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. The 14 Massachusetts counties were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Key Names

Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Charlie Baker, Maura Healey