2022 Other States Polls

SUPRC's polls have tracked elections for, President, Governor and US Senate, as well as national, statewide and local issues in many states, including: Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and Virginia.

Poll Documents

Suffolk Article

Statement of Methodology

The bellwether ID voter lists were called using a tight screen in which all respondents confirmed their residence and indicated that they were almost certain to vote or had already voted in the midterm election. All other respondents were screened out. The field was conducted Thursday, November 3 - Sunday, November 6, 2022. The margin of error for 300 respondents is +/- 5.65 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. Bellwethers are designed to predict winners, not margins of victory.

Poll Documents

Suffolk Article

Statement of Methodology

The bellwether ID voter lists were called using a tight screen in which all respondents confirmed their county of registration and indicated that they were almost certain to vote, would probably vote, or had already voted in the midterm election. All other respondents were screened out. The field was conducted Thursday, October 27-Sunday, October 30, 2022. The margin of error for 300 respondents is +/- 5.65 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. Bellwethers are designed to predict winners, not margins of victory.

Poll Documents

Suffolk Article

USA TODAY Article

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 500 likely Pennsylvania general election voters was conducted between October 27 and October 30, 2022, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were likely to vote in the November 2022 general election for governor and U.S. Senate. Each area's quota and demographic information was determined from previous like elections and 2020 Census data. Samples of both standard landline and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. The 67 Pennsylvania counties were grouped into five general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Poll Documents

Suffolk Article

USA TODAY Article

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 500 likely Nevada general election voters was conducted between October 24 and October 28 2022, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were likely to vote in the November 2022 general election for governor and US Senate. Each area's quota and demographic information -- including party affiliation, education, race, and age -- was determined from current voter registration data, previous like elections and exit polling data, and 2020 Census data. Samples of both standard landline and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past midterm elections. The 16 Nevada counties as well as Carson City were grouped into three general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Poll Documents

Suffolk Article

USA TODAY Article

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 500 Ohio general election voters was conducted between October 11 and October 15 2022, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were almost certain to or probably will vote in the November 2022 general election for governor and US Senate. Each area's quota and demographic information -- including gender, race and age -- was determined from previous Ohio midterm election exit polling data and 2020 Census data. Samples of both standard landline and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. The 88 Ohio counties were grouped into five general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Poll Documents

Suffolk Article

USA TODAY Article

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 500 likely Nevada general election voters was conducted between October 4 and October 7, 2022, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were likely to vote in the November 2022 general election for governor and US Senate. Each area's quota and demographic information -- including party affiliation, education, race, and age -- was determined from current voter registration data, previous like elections and exit polling data, and 2020 Census data. Samples of both standard landline and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past midterm elections. The 16 Nevada counties as well as Carson City were grouped into three general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Poll Documents

Suffolk Article

Boston Globe Articles

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 800 likely Rhode Island general election voters was conducted between October 1 and October 4, 2022, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were somewhat or very likely to vote in the November 2022 general election for governor. Each area's quota and demographic information -- including area, gender, race and age -- was determined from previous like elections, 2020 Census data, and midterm exit polling. Samples of both standard landline and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. Rhode Island's 39 cities and towns were grouped into their respective U.S. Congressional district (1 or 2). Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3.5 percentage points; margin of error for 422 general election voters in CD #2 is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Poll Documents

Suffolk Article

USA TODAY Article

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 500 likely Pennsylvania general election voters was conducted between September 27 and September 30, 2022, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were likely to vote in the November 2022 general election for governor and U.S. Senate. Each area's quota and demographic information was determined from previous like elections and 2020 Census data. Samples of both standard landline and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. The 67 Pennsylvania counties were grouped into five general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Poll Documents

Suffolk Article

USA TODAY Article

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 500 likely Arizona general election voters was conducted between September 21 and September 25, 2022, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were likely to vote in the November 2022 midterm general election for governor and US Senate. Each area's quota and demographic information was determined from previous like elections and 2020 Census data. Samples of both standard landline and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. The 15 Arizona counties were grouped into three general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Poll Documents

Suffolk Article

USA TODAY Article

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 500 likely Florida general election voters was conducted between September 15 and September 18, 2022, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were likely to vote in the November 2022 midterm general election for Governor and US Senate. Each area's quota and demographic information -- including race and age -- was determined from previous like elections and 2020 Census data. Samples of both standard landline and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. The 67 Florida counties were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Poll Documents

Suffolk Article

Cincinnati Enquirer Article

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 500 Ohio general election voters was conducted between September 5 and September 7, 2022, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were almost certain to or probably will vote in the November 2022 general election for governor and US Senate. Each area's quota and demographic information -- including gender, race and age -- was determined from previous Ohio midterm election exit polling data and 2020 Census data. Samples of both standard landline and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. The 88 Ohio counties were grouped into five general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Poll Documents

Suffolk Article

Reno Gazette Journal Articles

USA TODAY Article

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 500 likely Nevada general election voters was conducted between August 14 and August 17, 2022, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were likely to vote in the November 2022 general election for governor and US Senate. Each area’s quota and demographic information -- including party affiliation, education, race, and age -- was determined from previous like elections and 2020 Census data. Samples of both standard landline and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past midterm elections. The 16 Nevada counties as well as Carson City were grouped into three general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Poll Documents

Boston Globe Articles

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 800 likely Rhode Island general election voters was conducted between June 19 and June 22, 2022, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were likely to vote in the November 2022 general election for governor. Each area’s quota and demographic information -- including area, gender, race and age -- was determined from previous like elections, 2020 Census data, and midterm exit polling. Samples of both standard landline and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. Rhode Island’s 39 cities and towns were grouped into their respective U.S. Congressional district (1 or 2). Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3.5 percentage points; margin of error for 423 general election voters in CD #2 is +/- 4.8 percentage points; margin of error for 353 likely Democratic Primary voters statewide is +/- 5.2 percentage points; margin of error for 172 likely Democratic Primary voters in CD #2 is +/- 7.5 percentage points; and margin of error for 102 likely Republican Primary voters in CD #2 is +/- 9.7 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Poll Documents

Suffolk Article

USA TODAY/GoErie.com Articles

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 500 likely Pennsylvania general election voters was conducted between June 10 and June 13, 2022, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were likely to vote in the November 2022 general election for governor and U.S. Senate. Each area’s quota and demographic information -- including area, gender, race and age -- was determined from previous like elections, 2020 Census data, and midterm exit polling. Samples of both standard landline and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. The 67 Pennsylvania counties were grouped into five general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Poll Documents

Suffolk Articles

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 500 likely Ohio general election voters was conducted between May 22 and May 24, 2022, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were likely to vote in the November 2022 general election for governor and US Senate. Each area's quota and demographic information -- including gender, race and age -- was determined from previous Ohio midterm election exit polling data and 2020 Census data. Samples of both standard landline and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. The 88 Ohio counties were grouped into five general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Poll Documents

Reno Gazette-Journal Article

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 500 likely Nevada general election voters was conducted between April 2 and April 6, 2022, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were likely to vote in the November 2022 general election for governor and US Senate. Each area’s quota and demographic information -- including party affiliation, education, race and age -- was determined from previous like elections and 2020 Census data. Samples of both standard landline and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past midterm elections. The 16 Nevada counties as well as Carson City were grouped into three general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Suffolk University poll student Mikaela Linder contributed questions to this survey as part of her independent study.

Poll Documents

Suffolk University Press Release

USA TODAY Article

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 500 likely Florida general election voters was conducted between January 26 and January 29, 2022, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were likely to vote in the November 2022 midterm general election for Governor and US Senate. Each area’s quota and demographic information -- including race and age -- was determined from previous like elections and 2020 Census data. Samples of both standard landline and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. The 67 Florida counties were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.