2008 Other States Polls
October 28, 2008: Nevada Presidential General Election
Statewide Poll Documents
Bellwether Results
Press Release
Obama Surges to 10-Point Lead in Nevada
Statement of Methodology
The Suffolk University poll was conducted Thursday Oct. 23 through Monday Oct. 27. The margin of error on the study of 450 is +/- 4.6 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the Nevada statewide survey were likely voters. There were 299 respondents in the bellwether of Washoe County, Nevada, identified separately from the statewide poll.
October 27, 2008: Florida General Presidential Election
Statewide Poll Documents
Bellwether Results
Press Release
Obama Leads by 5% in Sunshine State
Statement of Methodology
The Suffolk University poll was conducted Thursday October 23, 2008, through Sunday, October 26, 2008. The margin of error on the study of 600 is +/- 4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the Florida statewide survey were likely voters. There were 303 respondents each from the bellwethers of Hillsborough and Monroe counties respectively, identified separately from the statewide poll.
October 20, 2008: Ohio & Missouri Presidential General Election
Ohio Statewide Poll Documents
Ohio Bellwether Results
Missouri Statewide Poll Documents
Missouri Bellwether Results
Press Release
Obama Leads by 9 Points in Ohio, McCain Edges in Missouri
Statement of Methodology
The Suffolk University Ohio poll was conducted Thursday, Oct. 16, 2008, through Sunday, Oct. 19, 2008. The Missouri poll was conducted Friday, Oct. 17, 2008, through Sunday, Oct. 19, 2008. The margin of error on each study of 600 is +/- 4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from both surveys were likely voters from Ohio and Missouri. Separate from the statewide poll, there were 312 respondents from the Ohio bellwether of Perry County and 204 respondents from the Missouri bellwether of Platte County.
October 14, 2008: Colorado Presidential General Election
Statewide Poll Documents
Bellwether Results
Press Release
Barack Obama Clings to 4 Point Lead in Colorado
Statement of Methodology
The Suffolk University poll was conducted Friday, October 10, 2008, through Monday, October 13, 2008. The margin of error on the study of 600 is +/- 4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the Colorado statewide survey were likely voters from all parties in Colorado. Separate from the statewide poll, there were 300 respondents from Alamosa County, Colorado.
October 6, 2008: Virginia Presidential General Election & Bellwethers
Statewide Poll Documents
Frequencies
Press Release
Obama Overpowering McCain in Virginia
Statement of Methodology
The Suffolk University poll was conducted Friday, October 3, 2008, through Sunday, October 5, 2008. The margin of error on the study of 600 is +/- 4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the Virginia statewide survey were likely voters. In the bellwether polls, there were 282 respondents from Chesapeake city and 303 respondents from Accomack County, and both were surveyed separately from the statewide poll.
August 25, 2008: Colorado Presidential General Election
Statewide Poll Documents
Bellwether Results
Press Release
Obama Leads McCain by 5 Percent in Colorado
Statement of Methodology
The Suffolk University poll was conducted Thursday, August 21, 2008, through Sunday, August 24, 2008. The margin of error on the study of 450 is +/- 4.6 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the Colorado statewide survey were likely voters from all parties in Colorado. Separate from the statewide poll there were 300 respondents from Alamosa County, Colorado.
May 19, 2008: Kentucky & Oregon Presidential Democratic Primaries & Bellwethers
Kentucky Statewide Poll Documents
Kentucky Bellwether Results
Oregon Statewide Poll Documents
Oregon Bellwether Results
Press Release
Clinton Solid in Kentucky; Oregon is Obama's in Tight Race
Statement of Methodology
The Suffolk University polls were conducted May 17-18, 2008. The margin of error on the statewide surveys of 600 is +/- 4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the statewide surveys were likely voters in the May 20 respective Democratic Presidential Primaries. The Suffolk University election predictor bellwether ID sister-tests (300 contacts, Montgomery County and 149 contacts, Marion County) were made May 18. There was an equal probability of contacting and interviewing likely Democratic voters, provided that they identified themselves as very likely or somewhat likely to take a Democratic ballot on Tuesday.
May 12, 2008: West Virginia Democratic Presidential Primary & Bellwethers
Statewide Poll Documents
Bellwether Results
Press Release
Poll Predicts 36-Point Clinton Landslide in W. Virginia
Statement of Methodology
The Suffolk University poll was conducted May 10 and May 11, 2008. The margin of error on the statewide survey of 600 is +/- 4.00 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the statewide survey were likely voters in the May 13 West Virginia Democratic Presidential Primary. The Suffolk University election predictor bellwether ID sister-test (400 contacts) was made May 10. There was an equal probability of contacting and interviewing registered voters of all party affiliations, provided that they identified themselves as likely to take a Democratic ballot on Tuesday.
May 6, 2008: Indiana Democratic Presidential Primary
Delaware County Bellwether Results
Press Release
Indiana Bellwether Points to Clinton Win
Statement of Methodology
Suffolk University interviewed 361 likely Democratic voters from a randomly selected list of 5,000 residents of Delaware County, Ind. All phoning took place on Sunday, May 4, and Monday, May 5, 2008. There was an equal probability of contacting and interviewing registered voters of all party affiliations, provided that they identified themselves as very likely or somewhat likely to take a Democratic ballot on Tuesday. The execution of the identification interviews was by live telephone call.
May 5, 2008: Indiana Presidential Democratic Primary
Poll Documents
Press Release
Poll: Clinton Leads Obama in Hoosier State
Statement of Methodology
The Suffolk University poll was conducted May 3 and May 4, 2008. The margin of error on the statewide survey of 600 is +/- 4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the statewide survey were likely Democratic Primary voters in the May 6 Indiana Democratic Presidential Primary.
April 22, 2008: Pennsylvania Presidential Democratic Primary
Allegheny County Bellwether Results
Press Release
Bellwether Points to Clinton Win in Penn.
Statement of Methodology
Suffolk University interviewed 402 likely Democratic voters from a randomly selected list of 5,000 residents of Allegheny County. All phoning took place on Sunday, April 20, and Monday, April 21. There was an equal probability of contacting and interviewing newly registered voters, recent party-switch registrants and longtime Democratic households, provided those contacted were registered Democrats and intended to vote in the Democratic Primary on Tuesday, April 22.
April 21, 2008: Pennsylvania Presidential Democratic Primary
Poll Documents
Press Release
Poll: Clinton Headed for Keystone State Win
Statement of Methodology
The Suffolk University poll was conducted April 19 - April 20, 2008. The margin of error on the statewide survey of 600 is +/- 4.00 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the statewide survey were likely Democratic Primary voters in the April 22 Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential Primary.
March 4, 2008: Presidential Primary Bellwethers
Ohio Democratic Primary Bellwethers
Rhode Island Republican Primary Bellwethers
Press Release
Bellwethers Ring for Clinton and McCain
Statement of Methodology
Suffolk University interviewed 300 likely voters from each of the three counties. A random select of all available registered voters with phone numbers was used as the core sample, which did not include newly registered voters. The execution of the identification interviews was by live telephone call.
March 3, 2008: Ohio Presidential Democratic Primary
Poll Documents
Press Release
Clinton Headed for Win in Buckeye State
Statement of Methodology
The Suffolk University poll was conducted Saturday, March 1, through Sunday, March 2, 2008. The margin of error on the statewide survey of 400 is +/- 4.90 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the statewide survey were likely Democratic voters in the March 4 Ohio Presidential Primary.
February 6, 2008: Presidential Primary Bellwethers
Massachusetts Poll Documents
Tennessee Poll Documents
California Poll Documents
February 4, 2008: California Presidential Primaries
Statewide Republican Primary
Statewide Democratic Primary
Frequencies
Press Release
McCain Clings to Lead in California GOP Primary
Statement of Methodology
The Suffolk University poll of likely Republican voters was conducted Thursday, Jan. 31, and Friday, Feb. 1, 2008. The margin of error on the statewide survey of 500 is +/- 4.38 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the statewide survey were likely Republican voters in the California Presidential Primary on Feb. 5.