2014 NH Polls
November 3, 2014: Massachusetts & New Hampshire General Election Bellwethers
Massachusetts Bellwethers
Statement of Methodology
The Waltham and Gloucester bellwether IDs each included 300 likely voters randomly selected from a list of voters who indicated that they were very likely to vote or had already voted. The Massachusetts field was conducted Saturday, November 1, through Sunday, November 2, 2014. The margin of error for each of the four bellwethers is +/- 5.65 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. Bellwethers are designed to predict outcomes, not margins.
New Hampshire Bellwethers
Statement of Methodology
The Manchester and Epping bellwether IDs each included 300 likely voters randomly selected from a list of voters who indicated that they were very likely to vote or had already voted. The New Hampshire field was conducted Thursday, October 30, through Sunday, November 2, 2014. The margin of error for each of the four bellwethers is +/- 5.65 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. Bellwethers are designed to predict outcomes, not margins.
Press Release
Key Names/Issues
Martha Coakley, Charlie Baker, Evan Falchuk, Scott Lively, Jeffrey McCormick, Jeanne Shaheen, Scott Brown, Maggie Hassan, Walt Havenstein
October 20 2014 New Hampshire Governor and US Senate
Poll Documents
Statement of Methodology
The statewide Suffolk University survey used a split sample of landline and cell phone numbers and a screen to filter out low voter intensity. The field of 500 likely voters was conducted Thursday, October 16, through Sunday, October 19. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.
Press Release
NH Poll Shows Shaheen Clinging to 3-Point Lead Over Brown in US Senate Race
Key Names/Issues
Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Walt Havenstein, Scott Brown, Maggie Hassan, Kelly Ayotte, Jeanne Shaheen, Obamacare, economy, Ebola, women's issues, campaign ads
June 19, 2014: New Hampshire Governor & US Senate
Poll Documents
Press Release
Suffolk University NH Poll Shows Shaheen Leading Brown by 10 Points in Senate Race
Statement of Methodology
The statewide Suffolk University survey used a split sample of landline and cell phone numbers and a screen to filter out low voter intensity. The field of 800 likely voters was conducted Saturday, June 14, through Wednesday, June 18. The margin of error is +/-3.5 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. The subset of 419 likely Republican Primary voters carries an error rate of +/-4.8 percent.
Key Names/Issues
Jeanne Shaheen, Scott Brown, Maggie Hassan, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Mitt Romney, Walt Havenstein, Bob Smith, Andrew Hemingway, Max Abramson, Gardner Goldsmith, Obamacare, Bowe Bergdahl
March 6, 2014: New Hampshire Republican Gubernatorial, US Senate & Presidential Primaries
Poll Documents
Press Release
Poll Shows Shaheen with Strong Lead over Scott Brown in NH Senate Race
Statement of Methodology
The statewide Suffolk University survey used a split sample of landline and cell phone numbers and a screen to filter out low voter intensity. The field of 800 likely voters was conducted Thursday, February 27, through Wednesday, March 5, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. The subset of 426 likely Republican Primary voters carries an error rate of +/- 4.8 percentage points.
Key Names/Issues
Jeanne Shaheen, Maggie Hassan, Kelly Ayotte, Barack Obama, Hilary Clinton, Scott Brown, Andy Martin, Jim Rubens, Bob Smith, Karen Testerman, Ted Gatsas, Andrew Hemingway, Bill Binnie, George Lambert, Chuck Morse, clean energy, climate change