Dec. 14, 2015

National Issues Poll with USA TODAY 

December 14, 2015


Complete Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF) 


Press Release: GOP Leaders Running Neck-and-Neck with Clinton

Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted between December 2 and December 6, 2015, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, and who intend to vote in 2016. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines (65 percent) and cell phones (35 percent) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. The margin of error for the Democratic primary/caucus subset of 363 likely voters is +/- 5.1 percentage points. The margin of error for the Republican primary/caucus subset of 357 likely voters is +/- 5.2 percentage points.


Key Names/Issues: Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders, Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Glimore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, Barack Obama, Planned Parenthood, ISIS, terrorism

Oct. 1, 2015

National Issues Poll with USA TODAY

October 1, 2015

Complete Results 


Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)


Press Release: Nationwide Poll Shows Clinton Leading Democratic Field 

National Poll Shows Trump, Carson & Fiorina in Top 3 GOP Spots 


Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted between September 24 and September 28, 2015, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, and who intend to vote in 2016. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines (65 percent) and cell phones (35 percent) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. The margin of error for the Republican primary subset of 380 voters is +/- 5.03 percentage points. The margin of error for the Democratic primary subset of 430 voters is +/- 4.7 percentage points.

Key Names/Issues: Planned Parenthood, government shutdown, Barack Obama, US Congress, Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Joe Biden, Lincoln Chafee, Larry Lessig, Martin O'Malley, Jim Webb, Islam, Muslims, State Department emails, Benghazi 

July 21, 2015

2016 Presidential Election National Poll Full Results 

July 21, 2015


Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)


Press Releases:

Suffolk University/USA TODAY Poll Shows Clinton Holding Strong Lead among Democrats across the Nation -- July 15, 2015

Suffolk University/USA TODAY Poll Shows Trump on Top with GOP Voters Nationwide -- July 14, 2015


Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1,000 adults was conducted between July 9 and July 12, 2015, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, and who intend to vote in 2016. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines (65 percent) and cell phones (35 percent) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Key Names/Issues: Donald Trump, Jeb Bush, Scott Walker, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Ben Carson, Rand Paul, Mike Huckabee, Chris Christie, Rick Perry, Rick Santorum, Bobby Jindal, Carly Fiorina, John Kasich, Linsdey Graham, George Pataki, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Jim Webb, Martin O'Malley, Lincoln Chafee, Obamacare, same-sex marriage, immigration, ISIS

June 30, 2015

National Issues Poll with USA TODAY 

June 30, 2015


Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF) 

Tables (PDF) 


Press Release: America Divided on Gun Laws 

Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1000 adults was conducted between June 25 and June 29, 2015, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age and older residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Each state’s quota and demographic information - including region, race, and age - were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landline (65%) and cell phones (35%) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into 4 general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document which follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.


Key Names/Issues: South Carolina shooting, Confederate flag, gun control, racism, American currency 

Apr. 14, 2015

National Issues Poll with USA TODAY

April 14, 2015

 

Complete Poll Documents:

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)

Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1000 adults was conducted between April 8th and April 13th, 2015, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age and older residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Each state’s quota and demographic information - including region, race, and age - were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landline (65%) and cell phones (35%) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into 4 general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document which follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Press Release: Congress Should Have Role in Iran Deal

 

Key Names/Issues: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Elizabeth Warren, Scott Walker, Jeb Bush, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, Ben Carson, Marco Rubio, US Congress, Iran

Jan. 28, 2015

National State of the Union Survey

January 28, 2015

 

Poll Documents:

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)

 

Press Release: Rich Get Richer and Government Holds the Key; Split Decision on Obama's Handling of Economy

 

Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1000 adults was conducted between January 21st and January 25th, 2015, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age and older residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Each state’s quota and demographic information - including region, race, and age - were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landline (65%) and cell phones (35%) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into 4 general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document which follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. 

Aug. 15, 2012

Unlikely/Unregistered Voter Poll with USA TODAY

August 15, 2012

Political opinion polls usually confine themselves to seeking out registered, likely voters. But what about the millions of adult U.S. citizens who are eligible to vote and choose not to?

The Suffolk University Political Research Center and USA TODAY have partnered to find out what these 80 million Americans think – who they support for president, what their opinions are on national issues and why they aren’t participating in their country’s civic process. Every other poll being conducted is talking to the usual cadre of registered and likely voters. This exclusive poll is the first of its kind – a study of everyone else! As the fall election season gets into high gear, find out what the rest of America is thinking. Can solid blue or red states turn swing? What might increased participation do to the electoral map? Complete results are posted below and are available in the print and online editions of USA TODAY.

Poll Documents:

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)

Mar. 26, 2012

National Presidential Election & Issues

March 26, 2012

 

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)


Press ReleaseNational Poll Shows Obama Leading Romney by 10 Points


Statement of Methodology: The nationwide survey of 1,070 United States likely voters was conducted March 21-25, 2012, using live telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.