The Suffolk University Political Research Center has been covering Presidential Primaries and General Elections in New Hampshire for over a decade. SUPRC bellwethers and tracking polls have made national headlines.

Mar. 6, 2014

March 6, 2014

New Hampshire Republican Gubernatorial, US Senate & Presidential Primaries

 

Marginals

Marginals (PDF)

Tables

Tables (PDF)

 

Press Release: Poll Shows Shaheen with Strong Lead over Scott Brown in NH Senate Race

Statement of Methodology: The statewide Suffolk University survey used a split sample of landline and cell phone numbers and a screen to filter out low voter intensity. The field of 800 likely voters was conducted Thursday, February 27, through Wednesday, March 5, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The subset of 426 likely Republican Primary voters carries an error rate of +/- 4.8 percent.

Key Names/Issues: Jeanne Shaheen, Maggie Hassan, Kelly Ayotte, Barack Obama, Hilary Clinton, Scott Brown, Andy Martin, Jim Rubens, Bob Smith, Karen Testerman, Ted Gatsas, Andrew Hemingway, Bill Binnie, George Lambert, Chuck Morse, clean energy, climate change

Nov. 5, 2012

New Hampshire & Ohio Presidential Bellwethers

November 5, 2012

Statement of Methodology: The IDs of 300 likely voters for each bellwether were conducted November 1-4 using live telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. The margin of sampling error is +/- 5.65 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

 

Oct. 15, 2012

New Hampshire Presidential General Election

October 15, 2012

Marginals (PDF)

Cross-Tabs (PDF)

Press Release: New Hampshire Poll Shows Romney and Obama Deadlocked

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 500 likely New Hampshire voters was conducted Oct. 12-14, 2012, using live telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Jan. 10, 2012

New Hampshire GOP Primary Tracking Poll

January 10, 2012

Marginals

Marginals - PDF

Tables

Cross Tabs - PDF

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey includes two nights of 250 likely respondents for a two-day tracking total of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican presidential primary. This track was conducted Jan. 8 and Jan. 9 using live telephone interviews with landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Press Release: Romney Headed for Near 20-Point Win in New Hampshire

Jan. 9, 2012

New Hampshire GOP Primary Tracking Poll

January 9, 2012

Marginals

Marginals - PDF

Tables

Cross Tabs - PDF

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey includes two nights of 250 likely respondents for a two-day tracking total of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican presidential primary. This track was conducted Jan. 7 and Jan. 8 using live telephone interviews with landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Press Release: Romney Drops 2 More Points, But Likely Won't Be Caught

Jan. 8, 2012

New Hampshire GOP Primary Tracking Poll

January 8, 2012

Marginals

Marginals - (PDF)

Tables

Cross Tabs - (PDF)

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey includes two nights of 250 likely respondents for a two-day tracking total of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican presidential primary. This track was conducted Jan. 6 and Jan. 7 using live telephone interviews with landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Press Release: Romney Continues to Slip in NH, Now at 35 Percent

Jan. 7, 2012

New Hampshire GOP Primary Tracking Poll

January 7, 2012

Marginals

Marginals- (PDF)

Tables

Cross Tabs - (PDF)

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey includes two nights of 250 likely respondents for a two-day tracking total of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican presidential primary. This track was conducted Jan. 5 and Jan. 6 using live telephone interviews with landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Press Release: Santorum Hits Plateau; Slips to Fourth in New Hampshire

Jan. 6, 2012

New Hampshire GOP Primary Tracking Poll

January 6, 2012

Marginals

Marginals - (PDF)

Tables

Cross Tabs - (PDF)

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey includes two nights of 250 likely respondents for a two-day tracking total of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican presidential primary. This track was conducted Jan. 4 and Jan. 5 using live telephone interviews with landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Press Release: Santorum Continues to Climb in Granite State

Jan. 5, 2012

New Hampshire GOP Primary Tracking Poll

January 5, 2012

Marginals

Marginals - (PDF)

Tables

Cross Tabs - (PDF)

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey includes two nights of 250 likely respondents for a two-day tracking total of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican presidential primary. This track was conducted Jan. 3 and Jan. 4 using live telephone interviews with landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Press Release: Paul, Santorum Pick Up Iowa Bounce Among NH GOP Voters

Jan. 4, 2012

New Hampshire GOP Primary Tracking Poll

January 4, 2012

Marginals

Marginals - (PDF)

Tables

Cross Tabs - (PDF)

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey includes two nights of 250 likely respondents for a two-day tracking total of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary. This track was conducted Jan. 2 and Jan. 3 using live telephone interviews with landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Press Release: Huntsman and Paul Lose Ground to "Undecided" Among NH GOP Voters

Jan. 3, 2012

New Hampshire GOP Primary Tracking Poll

January 3, 2012

Marginals

Marginals - (PDF)

Tables

Cross Tabs - (PDF)

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey includes two nights of 250 likely respondents for a two-day tracking total of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary. This track was conducted Jan. 1 and Jan. 2 using live telephone interviews with landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Press Release: Romney Holds Steady at 43 Percent Among NH GOP Voters

Jan. 2, 2012

New Hampshire GOP Primary Tracking Poll

January 2, 2012

Marginals

Marginals - PDF

Tables

Cross Tabs - PDF

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey includes two nights of 250 likely respondents for a two-day tracking total of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary. This track was conducted Dec. 31, 2011-Jan. 1, 2012, using live telephone interviews with landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Press Release: Tracking Poll: NH GOP Voters Making a Romney Resolution

Jan. 1, 2012

New Hampshire GOP Primary Tracking Poll

January 1, 2012

Marginals

Marginals - PDF

Tables

Cross Tabs - PDF

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey includes two nights of 250 likely respondents for a two-day tracking total of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary. This track was conducted Dec. 30-31, 2011, using live telephone interviews with landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Press Release: Poll Shows NH GOP Voters Opting for Mitt Romney

Dec. 14, 2011

New Hampshire Statewide GOP Primary

December 14, 2011

Marginals

Marginals - PDF

Tables

Cross Tabs - PDF

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 400 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary was conducted Dec. 10-13, 2011, using live telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.9 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Press Release: NH GOP Voters Favor Romney as Gingrich Continues Climb

Nov. 21, 2011

New Hampshire Statewide GOP Primary

November 21, 2011

Marginals

Marginals - (PDF) 

Tables

Cross Tabs - (PDF)

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 400 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary was conducted Nov. 16-20, 2011, using live telephone interviews. The margin of error is +/-4.9 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Press Release: Romney on Top as Gingrich & Paul Battle for Second Place in NH

Sep. 21, 2011

New Hampshire Statewide GOP Primary

September 21, 2011

Marginals

Marginals - (PDF)

Tables

Cross Tabs - (PDF)

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 400 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary was conducted September 18-20, 2011, using live telephone interviews. The margin of error is +/-4.9 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Press Release: Romney Crushing Field in NH Among Likely GOP Primary Voters

Jun. 28, 2011

New Hampshire Statewide GOP Primary

June 28, 2011

Marginals

Marginals - (PDF)

Tables

Cross Tabs - (PDF)

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 400 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary was conducted June 25-27, 2011, using live telephone interviews. The margin of error is +/-4.9 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Press Release: Bachmann Gains in New Hampshire

May 4, 2011

New Hampshire Statewide GOP Primary

May 4, 2011

Marginals

Marginals - (PDF)

Tables

Cross Tabs  - (PDF)

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 400 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary was conducted April 30-May 2, 2011 using live telephone interviews. The margin of error is +/-4.9 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Press Release: NH Poll Shows Romney Leading Among Likely GOP Primary Voters

Oct. 30, 2008

New Hampshire General Presidential Election & Selected Bellwethers

October 30, 2008

Marginals - (PDF)

Cross Tabs - (PDF)

Bellwether Results
Epping and Tamworth - (PDF)

Press Release: Obama Up by 13 in NH, with Strong Support from Women

Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University/7News poll was conducted Monday, Oct. 27, 2008, through Wednesday, Oct. 29, 2008. The margin of error on the study of 600 is +/- 4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the New Hampshire statewide survey were likely voters. There were 301 respondents from the bellwethers of Epping and Tamworth, N.H., identified separately from the statewide poll.

Sep. 25, 2008

New Hampshire General Presidential Election & Selected Bellwethers

September 25, 2008

Marginals

Marginals - (PDF)

Tables

Cross Tabs - (PDF)

Bellwether Results - Epping and Tamworth
Bellwethers - (PDF)

Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University/7News poll was conducted Sunday, Sept. 21, 2008, through Wednesday, Sept. 24, 2008. The margin of error on the study of 600 is +/- 4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the New Hampshire statewide survey were likely voters. There were 221 respondents from the bellwethers of Epping and Tamworth, NH, identified separately from the statewide poll.

Press Release: Obama & McCain Neck-and-Neck in Granite State

Jan. 8, 2008

New Hampshire GOP & Democratic Primary Tracking Polls

January 8, 2008

Marginals

Marginals (PDF)

Tables & Charts

Democratic Tables (PDF)
Republican Tables (PDF)

Democratic Charts (PDF)

Republican Charts (PDF)

Press Release: Maverick Independents Rock Granite State

Statement of Methodology: The 7NEWS-Suffolk University tracking poll was conducted Jan. 6 and Jan. 7. The margin of error for each party subsample of 500 respondents is +/- 4.38 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The 1,000-respondent margin of error is +/- 3.10 percent. All respondents were likely voters for the respective New Hampshire presidential primaries on Jan. 8, 2008.

Jan. 7, 2008

New Hampshire GOP & Democratic Primary Tracking Polls

January 7, 2008

Marginals

Marginals - (PDF)

Tables & Charts

Democratic Tables - (PDF)
Republican Tables - (PDF)

Democratic Charts - (PDF)
Republican Charts - (PDF)

Press Release: New Hampshire Voters See Obama Presidency

Statement of Methodology: The 7NEWS-Suffolk University tracking poll was conducted Jan. 5 and Jan. 6. The margin of error for each party subsample of 500 respondents is +/- 4.38 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The 1,000-respondent margin of error is +/- 3.10 percent. All respondents were likely voters for the respective New Hampshire presidential primaries on Jan. 8, 2008.

Jan. 6, 2008

New Hampshire GOP & Democratic Primary Tracking Polls

January 6, 2008

Marginals

Marginals - (PDF)

Tables & Charts

Democratic Tables - (PDF)
Republican Tables - (PDF)

Democratic Charts - (PDF)
Republican Charts - (PDF)

Press Release: It's Neck and Neck in New Hampshire

Statement of Methodology: The 7NEWS-Suffolk University tracking poll was conducted Jan. 4 and Jan. 5. The margin of error for each party subsample of 500 respondents is +/- 4.38 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The 1,000-respondent margin of error is +/- 3.10 percent. All respondents were likely voters for the respective New Hampshire presidential primaries on Jan. 8, 2008.

Jan. 5, 2008

New Hampshire GOP & Democratic Primary Tracking Polls

January 5, 2008

Marginals

Marginals - (PDF)

Tables & Charts

Democratic Tables - (PDF)
Republican Tables - (PDF)

Democratic Charts - (PDF)
Republican Charts - (PDF)

Press Release: Obama Advances on Clinton in NH Democratic Primary; Romney Fending Off McCain in GOP Primary

Statement of Methodology: The 7NEWS-Suffolk University tracking poll was conducted Jan. 3 and Jan. 4. The margin of error for each party subsample of 500 respondents is +/- 4.38 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The 1,000-respondent margin of error is +/- 3.10 percent. All respondents were likely voters for the respective New Hampshire presidential primaries on Jan. 8, 2008.

Jan. 4, 2008

New Hampshire GOP & Democratic Primary Tracking Polls

January 4, 2008

Marginals

Marginals - (PDF)

Tables & Charts

Democratic Tables - (PDF)
Republican Tables - (PDF)

Democratic Charts - (PDF)
Republican Charts - (PDF)

Press Release: Romney Takes Back Lead From McCain in NH GOP Primary; Clinton Holding Off Obama in Democratic Primary

Statement of Methodology: The 7NEWS-Suffolk University tracking poll was conducted Jan. 2 and Jan. 3. The margin of error for each party subsample of 500 respondents is +/- 4.38 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The 1,000-respondent margin of error is +/- 3.10 percent. All respondents were likely voters for the respective New Hampshire Presidential Primaries on Jan. 8, 2008.

Jan. 3, 2008

New Hampshire GOP & Democratic Primary Tracking Polls

January 3, 2008

Marginals

Marginals - (PDF)

Tables & Charts

Democratic Tables - (PDF)
Republican Tables - (PDF)

Democratic Charts - (PDF)
Republican Charts - (PDF)

Press Release: Romney Closing Gap on McCain in NH GOP Primary; Clinton Maintains Lead in Democratic Primary

Statement of Methodology: The 7NEWS-Suffolk University tracking poll was conducted Jan. 1 and Jan. 2. The margin of error for each party subsample of 500 respondents is +/- 4.38 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The 1,000-respondent margin of error is +/- 3.10 percent. All respondents were likely voters for the respective New Hampshire Presidential Primaries on Jan. 8, 2008.

Jan. 2, 2008

New Hampshire GOP & Democratic Primary Tracking Polls

January 2, 2008

Marginals

Marginals - (PDF)

Tables & Charts

Democratic Tables - (PDF)
Republican Tables - (PDF)

Democratic and Republican Charts - (PDF)

Press Release: McCain, Clinton Extend Leads in New Hampshire Primaries; Romney, Obama, Giuliani Continue to Slide

Statement of Methodology: The 7NEWS-Suffolk University tracking poll was conducted Dec. 31, 2007, and Jan. 1, 2008. The margin of error for each party subsample of 500 respondents is +/- 4.38 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The 1,000 respondent margin of error is +/- 3.10 percent. All respondents are likely voters for the respective New Hampshire presidential primaries on Jan. 8, 2008.

Jan. 1, 2008

New Hampshire GOP & Democratic Primary Tracking Polls

January 1, 2008 

Marginals

Marginals - (PDF)

Tables & Charts

Democratic Tables - (PDF)
Republican Tables - (PDF)

Democratic and Republican Charts - (PDF)

Press Release: McCain Rockets Past Romney in New Hampshire; Clinton Opens Up Double-Digit Lead on Obama

Statement of Methodology: This 7NEWS-Suffolk University poll was conducted from Dec. 27 to Dec. 31, 2007. The margin of error for each party subsample of 300 respondents is +/- 5.65 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The 600-respondent margin of error is +/- 4 percent. All respondents were likely voters in the Jan. 8, 2008, New Hampshire presidential primary.

Oct. 18, 2004

New Hampshire General Presidential Election

October 18, 2004

Marginals

Marginals (pdf, 40k)

Tables

Cross-Tabs (pdf, 522k)

 

 

Jan. 26, 2004

New Hampshire Presidential Poll

January 26, 2004

Tables

Marginal 1

Marginal 2